TCU should rise up to #3 after winning on the road at Wisconsin and Illinois while Oklahoma State should come up to #5 after beating South Florida at the Blue Gray. Northwestern will move up to #9 thanks to five wins over top 30 opponents while it has just the one loss to Illinois.
Texas and Baylor will both make leaps into the top 15 after Texas won at #5 Wake Forest and Baylor beat #17 Memphis. Michigan will be up to #19 after a weekend sweep over #22 Tulsa and #28 Washington. Arkansas should move into the top 30 after winning at #10 Oklahoma on Sunday while Old Dominion will be just outside the top 30 after winning on the road at #25 NC State. Princeton should make a healthy jump after beating Auburn plus its road win over Penn is worth more points after the Quakers jumped into the top 75 last week.
Oklahoma will fall eight spots to #18 after the loss to Arkansas while Texas Tech will drop from #6 to #10. Tech’s loss to Wake Forest didn’t really hurt them but its wins over Baylor and Florida were de-valued after each plummeted last week. Both of those teams came back up this week so Tech will most likely rise again next week.
Only 20 of the 40 schools in my projected top 40 have five wins over current top 75 opponents. Schools that have an * beside the school name have less than five ranked wins so I had to do some guesswork on where the unranked wins fall in the rankings. This set of rankings and the next two will use the best 5 wins so these numbers should get more accurate with each passing week.
On the women’s side The Ohio State University will take over the #1 spot with the Buckeyes having four top 10 wins, including a road win at Michigan, and five total wins over top 25 opponents. Cal drops to #2, despite being undefeated, because it has three top 10 wins and five top 20 wins.
Wichita State drops up from #21 to #12 with the Shockers actually having six top 75 wins. Auburn will make a big jump up from #61 to #33 due to the Tigers upset win over Oklahoma State last weekend in Montgomery at the Blue Gray Classic.
Florida drops 8 spots after the close losses on the road to Cal and Stanford. The real reason for the drop is due to Florida’s four ranked wins being over teams ranked between #34 and #45.
USC, which was ranked #38 last week, will almost certainly drop out due to only having 3 wins with each of those being over an unranked school.
Only 13 of the 40 schools in my projected top 40 have five wins over current top 75 opponents so for the other 27 a little guesswork was used so there could be a few that change spots by a point or two.
| Rank | School | Points | Previous |
| 1 | North Carolina | 93.84 | 1 |
| 2 | Virginia | 72.04 | 2 |
| 3 | TCU | 66.76 | 8 |
| 4 | Ohio State | 65.69 | 3 |
| 5 | Oklahoma State | 65.10 | 9 |
| 6 | UCLA | 64.10 | 4 |
| 7 | Wake Forest | 60.12 | 5 |
| 8 | Texas A&M | 58.55 | 7 |
| 9 | Northwestern | 54.34 | 15 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | 53.98 | 6 |
| 11 | Illinois | 52.20 | 11 |
| 12 | USC | 47.23 | 13 |
| 13 | Texas | 40.04 | 26 |
| 14 | Baylor | 40.00 | 34 |
| 15 | Georgia* | 39.26 | 16 |
| 16 | South Florida | 39.17 | 14 |
| 17 | California* | 38.16 | 12 |
| 18 | Oklahoma* | 36.13 | 10 |
| 19 | Michigan | 31.45 | 28 |
| 20 | Tulsa | 31.32 | 22 |
| 21 | Oregon | 30.88 | 20 |
| 22 | Memphis* | 30.75 | 17 |
| 23 | Kentucky* | 28.61 | 18 |
| 24 | Penn State* | 26.71 | 21 |
| 25 | Ole Miss* | 26.14 | 19 |
| 26 | San Diego | 24.67 | 24 |
| 27 | Columbia* | 24.59 | 23 |
| 28 | Rice* | 22.25 | 30 |
| 29 | Arkansas* | 22.18 | 51 |
| 30 | Florida* | 21.54 | 41 |
| 31 | Old Dominion* | 21.04 | 55 |
| 32 | Iowa* | 18.84 | 43 |
| 33 | LSU* | 17.97 | 37 |
| 34 | Drake* | 17.71 | 44 |
| 35 | Stanford* | 17.00 | 29 |
| 36 | Princeton* | 16.15 | 52 |
| 37 | Harvard* | 16.10 | 32 |
| 38 | Notre Dame | 15.94 | 47 |
| 39 | Purdue* | 15.75 | 39 |
| 40 | Georgia Tech* | 15.61 | 57 |
3/1/16 Women’s Ranking Projections
| Rank | School | Points | Previous |
| 1 | Ohio State | 84.47 | 2 |
| 2 | Cal | 80.40 | 1 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 70.38 | 6 |
| 4 | Michigan | 67.50 | 3 |
| 5 | Texas Tech | 57.06 | 8 |
| 6 | Duke | 55.88 | 9 |
| 7 | Vanderbilt | 54.58 | 4 |
| 8 | Georgia* | 54.35 | 5 |
| 9 | LSU | 43.93 | 12 |
| 10 | Oklahoma State | 43.69 | 11 |
| 11 | Pepperdine | 43.08 | 10 |
| 12 | Wichita State | 34.75 | 21 |
| 13 | South Carolina* | 34.23 | 17 |
| 14 | Texas A&M* | 32.09 | 20 |
| 15 | Florida* | 31.98 | 7 |
| 16 | Virginia* | 31.45 | 18 |
| 17 | Tulsa | 29.96 | 14 |
| 18 | Kentucky* | 28.90 | 15 |
| 19 | Stanford* | 27.32 | 16 |
| 20 | Miami* | 27.14 | 13 |
| 21 | Clemson* | 25.63 | 34 |
| 22 | Fresno State* | 24.19 | 26 |
| 23 | Kansas* | 22.62 | 23 |
| 24 | Mississippi State* | 22.19 | 25 |
| 25 | Syracuse* | 21.11 | 33 |
| 26 | Ole Miss* | 20.48 | 22 |
| 27 | UCLA | 20.34 | 29 |
| 28 | William & Mary* | 18.47 | 42 |
| 29 | South Alabama* | 18.39 | 39 |
| 30 | Oregon* | 18.32 | 35 |
| 31 | Columbia* | 17.98 | 50 |
| 32 | Notre Dame* | 16.76 | 30 |
| 33 | Auburn* | 16.55 | 61 |
| 34 | Georgia Tech* | 15.59 |
There is too little data at this point to rank properly. For instance on the women's side USC began the season ranked #2. But as of today they are not even ranked in the top 75. The computer ranking won't have much meaning for at least two more weeks.
They've got 4 top 75 wins and another win over a top 90 team (Utah St). The name of the game is ranked wins – beating a bunch of teams ranked in the 40s-70s will get you in if you have enough of them. <br /><br />One of the ranked wins, Wichita St, fell out this week so that will hurt some though they play at Drake on Friday so that'll be an opportunity to stay up if they win.
All 6 Big 12 teams are in the top 20 but Oklahoma, Texas and Baylor are not as strong as they usually are. I think Oklahoma State is a little overrated but they are greatly improved.<br /><br />By year end, I think Oklahoma has the most potential to be a player in the NCAAs. If Harris returns and is in form and Alvarez rounds into form, they will have a mighty good 1&2. They have been underperforming so far.<br /><br />
How is Iowa so high? C'mon, nobody thinks they are that good.
Yes. Always tragic when your "down" years still produce top 15 teams
What has happened to Oklahoma and Baylor? These have been 2 of the best programs the last several years and both are very mediocre. Oklahoma brought back 5 of 6 starters and they just aren't very good.
51 to 54 range. Win over UCSB bumped them up to about 48 but the loss to Cal Poly dropped them down some.
What do you think Pacific will be ranked?
I think a little lower than last week but not by much – 65-70 range. The ETSU win won't help much this week because they were most likely down below 125 last week but it'll help for next week when ETSU gets those added points from beating Portland and Penn who both jumped in this week.
Ok thanks. I think they beat Portland and Penn also who were ranked in the last rankings so maybe that'll change things.
Hey bobby, ado you have any idea about where Georgia State would be?
Right around #42 – less than 1.00 points from the top 40. I've got the Pepperdine, Fresno State, ETSU wins probably only giving them 4 points each because I don't think any of those 3 are in the top 125.
Do you know what Washington is going to be ranked roughly?