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Virginia stays at the top spot for the third week in a row despite the loss to Wake Forest in the finals of the ACC Championship. UCLA and North Carolina stay at No. 2 and No. 3 while Ohio State and TCU swap spots at No. 4 and No. 5.  Wake Forest and Georgia swap spots at No. 6 and No. 7 while Texas Tech moves up to No. 8. Florida moves up two spots to No. 9 and Oklahoma remains at No. 10. For further details on why the teams moved check out my profiles on each team further down below.

This set of rankings used each team’s nine best wins as will next week’s unpublished rankings which will be used to make the at-large selections for the NCAA Tournament.

Purdue and Indiana were the biggest upward movers with both teams coming up six spots while Drake and Cal Poly had the biggest drops with both falling five spots.

The following teams moved up at least 4 spots versus the last rankings – movement in ( ):
#12 Cal – (+4) – beat Washington and USC
#27 Stanford (+5) – beat Oregon
#32 Virginia Tech (+4) – beat Florida State
#35 Penn State (+4) – beat Illinois
#37 Notre Dame (+4) – beat Duke
#45 South Carolina (+5) – beat Arkansas
#48 Denver (+4) – beat New Mexico
#53 Purdue (+6) – beat Wisconsin and Minnesota
#58 Indiana (+6) – beat Wisconsin and Minnesota
#70 UC Davis (+4) – beat UC Irvine

The following teams dropped down at least 4 spots versus the last rankings (still ranked):
#51 Drake (-5) – lost to unranked Southern Illinois and Illinois State
#52 Princeton (-4) – lost to unranked Penn
#57 Wisconsin (-4) – lost to Purdue and Indiana
#62 Georgia State (-4) – lost to UT Arlington
#68 Cal Poly (-5) – lost to UC Santa Barbara

There were 0 teams to drop out or enter this week which is the first time all season that has happened.

My projections were actually the best they’ve been all season with me nailing everyone in the top 40. My points were off slightly on Stanford and Penn State though the reason Penn State was off was because it incorrectly keyed its road win over Wisconsin as a home win so they missed out on a .06 road bonus.

Here is a list of the teams that I’d consider to be on the NCAA Men’s Bubble along with remaining matches (if any) and best wins. Everybody on this list wants to see San Diego win the West Coast Conference Tournament because if USD were to get upset that means they’d still get in but as an at-large instead of getting the WCC’s automatic berth.  USD taking an at-large bid would lower the cutoff from 42 to 41 which means an extra team on the bubble would be left out.

4/26 Ranking:

#37 Notre Dame (21.89) – regular season over
9 Best Wins – North Carolina, Michigan, NC State, Indiana, Duke (2X), Miami, Western Michigan, Louisville
Outlook – VERY GOOD 
Comments – Indiana has gone on a tear down the stretch so that should really help Notre Dame. Indiana, Michigan, and Western Michigan are the only of its best wins that are still playing and it looks like Indiana and Michigan will play in the B1G quarters so one of those teams is guaranteed a spot in the semifinals.

#38 Oregon (21.73) – regular season over
9 Best Wins – at Washington, Old Dominion, UCSB, Denver, Boise State, Indiana, at Loyola Marymount, at Pacific, Utah
Outlook – VERY GOOD
Comments – 6 of their best 9 wins are playing this week (Wash/Utah/ODU are done). I think Oregon is going to get in regardless but for safe measure it wants Denver to win the Summit, San Diego to win the WCC, and UCSB to at least make the finals of the Big West.

#39 Dartmouth (21.67) – regular season over
9 Best Wins – Tulane, Memphis, Drake, Princeton, Harvard, Cornell, St. John’s (2X), Clemson
Outlook – PRETTY GOOD 
Comments: Drake and St. John’s are the only of its best wins still playing – Drake dropped five spots this week after two losses last week so that won’t help. St. John’s will be favored to win its conference tournament but I don’t see them coming up much. The thing working in Dartmouth’s favor is its almost 2 point lead on the group at 41-44.

#40 Washington (21.57) – regular season over
9 Best Wins – USC, Texas, East Tennessee State, Pepperdine, Cal Poly, Utah (2X), Penn, Portland
Outlook – PRETTY GOOD
Comments – 4 of their 9 best wins are playing this week with Cal Poly and Portland probably having the best chance to pick up ranked wins. Washington fans also want San Diego to win the WCC. I think Washington makes it in with a little room to spare.

#41 Memphis (19.92)  – regular season over
9 Best Wins – at SMU, at Ole Miss, at Vanderbilt, Harvard, Denver, at Middle Tennessee State, at San Diego State, VCU, Louisville
Outlook – TIGHT
Comments – Denver and SDSU are the only best wins still playing – SDSU will likely be playing a ranked New Mexico team in the Mountain West so a win there could bump it up in the rankings.

#42 Baylor (19.84) – at Oklahoma State (Big 12 Tournament),
9 Best Wins – Texas, Columbia, Oregon, Memphis, UC Irvine, Abilene Christian, 3 sub 125s
Outlook – REAL TIGHT 
Comments – BU is the only bubble team that can still improve its stock on its own merits – a win over Oklahoma State would seal a bid. Texas and UC Irvine are the only two of its best wins still playing but Texas will be an underdog against Oklahoma as will UC Irvine against UCSB in the Big West semis. I think if Baylor loses to Oklahoma State they are probably going to be the first one out.

#43 Alabama (19.62) – regular season over
9 Best Wins – Ole Miss, LSU, S. Carolina, Princeton, Georgia St, Auburn, N Florida, Miami, UAB
Outlook – TIGHT  
Comments – None of its best wins are still playing but the South Carolina win will be worth more since they rose from 50 to 45. Those extra points may be enough to push Alabama past Baylor especially if Baylor loses to Oklahoma State.

#44 NC State (18.92) – regular season over
9 Best Wins – Wake Forest, Dartmouth, Drake, South Carolina, Clemson (2X), Miami, Elon, Troy
Outlook – NEEDS HELP
Comments – The South Carolina win will improve but the Drake and Clemson wins will probably go the other way to offset the gains. NC State needs Baylor to lose and needs Denver and San Diego State to get beat by lower ranked teams which would in effect drop them in the rankings and thus bring down Memphis’s point total.

#45 South Carolina (18.19) – regular season over (currently has a 14-15 record)
9 Best Wins – Arkansas (2X), Vanderbilt, Georgia Tech, Auburn, Clemson, Tennessee, 2 sub 125s
Outlook – OUT
Comments – A sub .500 record eliminates the Gamecocks from consideration – even if they picked up an extra match this week to get to .500 it likely wouldn’t be enough to move up to No. 42.

If I had to make a prediction today I’d say that Baylor, NC State, and South Carolina are the three that will just miss out while everyone else makes it in.
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Here is a quick look back at last year’s NCAA Bubble Watch with notes on how some teams made it and others didn’t make it – ranking points total listed first. You had to feel sorry for Tulane after they missed out by just .10 – brutal!!

17.93 – Pepperdine (fourth to last team in) – was ranked #42 in the last published rankings and finished at #9. Waves beat #52 San Francisco in the WCC Tournament before losing to #22 San Diego – points total rose 1.75 points.

17.28 – San Diego State (third to last team in) – was ranked #38 in last published rankings and finished at #40. SDSU got upset by an unranked Nevada in the Mountain West Tournament and its point total fell 1.50 points.

17.08 Tennessee (second to last team in) – was ranked #40 in the last published rankings and finished at #41. UT did not play the last week of the season since the SEC Tournament was held the week prior. It’s point total dropped .35 from the week prior.

16.93 Georgia Tech (last team in) – was ranked #55 in the last published rankings but rose all the way to #42 due to wins over #14 Virginia Tech and #35 Notre Dame at the ACC Tournament. Those wins brought its point total up 6.11.

16.83 Tulane (first team out) – was ranked #41 in the last published rankings but fell to #43 in the final unpublished rankings. Tulane’s conference tournament finished the week prior with its point total coming up .37 from it’s best 9 wins moving around.

16.32 Dartmouth (second team out) – was ranked #46 in the last published rankings and came up to #44 after beating #34 Harvard in the final week of the season. Dartmouth’s points total came up 1.68 points week over week.

15.76 Memphis (third team out) – was ranked #43 in the last published rankings and fell to #45 in the final unpublished rankings despite not playing the final week. Memphis’s points total fell .10 week over week.

The reason why I listed all of these is to show you how these team went up or down to make it or not make. Just about everyone that was on the bubble last year played that final weekend of the season so that’s why we saw some large swings. This year basically everyone on the bubble is finished playing so that’s why I don’t expect to see a big jump or decrease in point totals.

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Below I’ll breakdown the team Top 10 looking at the 9 best wins that were used in the rankings this week along with other quality ranked wins. I also listed the point totals gained from the best wins and losses to come up with the computer score.  

Virginia (24-4) stays at No. 1 after beating NC State and North Carolina before falling to Wake Forest in the finals in a 4-3 thriller. 

  • 9 Best Wins (750.4): #2 UCLA, #3 North Carolina, #4 TCU, #6 Wake Forest (2X), #9 Florida, #10 Oklahoma, #20 Kentucky, #21 Florida State
  • Other Quality Wins:  #23 Tulsa, #28 San Diego, at #30 Georgia Tech, #36 Virginia Tech,  #41 Notre Dame, #44 NC State
  • Losses (9.7): #3 North Carolina (2X), #6 Wake Forest, #15 Illinois
  • Computer Score:  750.4/9.7 = 77.36 (was 74.16)
  • What’s Coming Up: NCAA Tournament
  • Comments: Virginia should be locked in as the #1 seed for the NCAA Tournament however I suppose that UNC could jump ahead of them and UCLA if the committee goes off H2H. 

UCLA (22-2) stays at No. 2 after defeating Stanford and California to win the Pac-12 Tournament. 
  • 9 Best Wins (661.2): #6 Georgia (2X), #8 USC (2X), #13 Texas A&M, #16 Cal (2X), #27 SMU, at #32 Stanford
  • Other Quality Wins: #28 San Diego, #30 Georgia Tech, #32 Stanford (2X), #35 Oregon, at #37 Washington
  • Losses (9.2): #1 Virginia, #3 North Carolina
  • Computer Score:  661.2/9.2 = 71.87 (was 70.57)
  • What’s Coming Up: NCAA Tournament
  • Comments: UCLA should be finish the year ranked #2 but they drop to a 3 seed for the NCAAs due to the H2H loss to UNC. 

North Carolina (25-4) stays at No. 3 after a close loss to Virginia in the ACC semifinals. 

  • 9 Best Wins (742.6): #1 Virginia (2X + 1 on road), #2 UCLA, #5 Ohio State, #9 Texas Tech, #10 Oklahoma, #15 Illinois, #30 Georgia Tech (2X)
  • Other Quality Wins: #34 Vanderbilt, #36 Virginia Tech, #42 NC State (2X + 1 on road)
  • Losses (10.6): #1 Virginia, #7 Wake Forest, at #21 Florida State, at #41 Notre Dame
  • Computer Score:  742.6/10.6 = 70.06 (was 69.96)
  • What’s Coming Up: NCAA Tournament
  • Comments: UNC should finish the year ranked #3 but they might be either the #1 or #2 seed in the NCAAs if the committee uses H2H.

Ohio State (27-2) rises one spot to No. 4 after blanking both Northwestern and Illinois. 

  • 9 Best Wins (640.4): at 10 Oklahoma, #11 Florida, #13 Texas A&M (2X), #14 Northwestern, #15 Illinois, at #17 South Florida, #19 Texas, at #20 Kentucky
  • Other Quality Wins:  #22 Michigan, #36 Virginia Tech, #39 Penn State, at #41 Notre Dame, #43 Baylor
  • Losses (9.3): #1 North Carolina, at #6 Georgia
  • Computer Score:  640.4/9.3 = 68.86 (was 66.53)
  • What’s Coming Up: Big Ten Tournament (4/29-5/1) – Wisconsin/Nebraska winner, Michigan/Indiana winner, Illinois/Northwestern winner
  • Comments: The Buckeyes went undefeated in the Big Ten and will be heavy favorites to win the Big Ten Tournament in Minneapolis. 

TCU (22-3) drops one spot to No. 5 after a loss at Texas Tech. 

  • 9 Best Wins (666.6): #8 USC, #10 Oklahoma, #12 Oklahoma State (2X), at #13 Texas A&M, #14 Northwestern, #15 Illinois (2X +1 on road), at #17 South Florida
  • Other Quality Wins: at #19 Texas, #23 Tulsa, #24 Columbia, #26 Rice, #27 SMU, #32 Stanford, #38 Dartmouth, #43 Baylor
  • Losses (9.7): #1 Virginia, #9 Texas Tech, #16 California
  • Computer Score:  666.6/9.7 = 68.72 (was 69.44)
  • What’s Coming Up: Big 12 Tournament (4/30-5/1) – Oklahoma/Texas winner, Texas Tech/Oklahoma State winner
  • Comments: TCU will most likely face Oklahoma again in the Big 12 semifinals and if they get past OU they’d see the winner of the Texas Tech/Oklahoma State match. It looks like No. 4 may be TCU’s ceiling if it wins the Big 12 because UVA and UNC have the better wins and UCLA has fewer losses. 

Wake Forest (29-5) moves up one spot to No. 6 after winning the ACC Championship which included a 4-3 win over No. 1 Virginia in the finals. 

  • 9 Best Wins (706.2): #1 Virginia, at #3 North Carolina, #8 USC, #9 Texas Tech, #10 Oklahoma (2X + 1 on road), at #21 Florida State, #30 Georgia Tech, at #36 Virginia Tech
  • Other Quality Wins: #36 Virginia Tech, #41 Notre Dame (2X), #50 South Carolina
  • Losses (10.7): #1 Virginia (2X), #12 Oklahoma State, #19 Texas, #44 NC State
  • Computer Score: 706.2/10.7 = 66.00 (was 59.02)
  • What’s Coming Up: NCAA Tournament.
  • Comments: Wake is most likely locked in as the #6 seed at the NCAAs. 

Georgia (20-4) drops one spot to No. 7 after losing to Florida in the finals of the SEC Tournament. 
  • 9 Best Wins (606.8): #5 Ohio State, #11 Florida, at #13 Texas A&M, at #18 Arkansas, #20 Kentucky, #24 Columbia, #25 Mississippi State (2X), at #29 Ole Miss
  • Other Quality Wins: #29 Ole Miss, #30 Georgia Tech, at #33 LSU, at #34 Vanderbilt, #40 Alabama#42 Memphis, #47 UC Santa Barbara, at #50 South Carolina  
  • Losses (9.7): #2 UCLA (2X), #9 Texas Tech, #11 Florida
  • Computer Score: 606.8/9.7 = 62.56 (was 65.82)
  • What’s Coming Up:  NCAA Tournament
  • Comments: Georgia should be the #7 seed in the NCAAs however if Texas Tech stays at #8 the committee may give Texas Tech the bump due to the H2H win. 
Texas Tech (26-4) rises one spot to No. 8 after beating both Texas and TCU. 
  • 9 Best Wins (610.6): #4 TCU, #6 Georgia, at #10 Oklahoma, #11 Florida, #19 Texas, #23 Tulsa, #29 Ole Miss, #31 Tulane, #32 Ole Miss, at #43 Baylor 
  • Other Quality Wins: #43 Baylor, at #44 NC State, #46 Drake, #48 Princeton
  • Losses (10.2): #3 North Carolina, #7 Wake Forest, #12 Oklahoma State, #26 Rice 
  • Computer Score: 610.6/10.2 = 59.86 (was 53.89)
  • What’s Coming Up: Big 12 Tournament (4/29-5/1) – Oklahoma State/Baylor winner, TCU/Oklahoma winner
  • Comments: The Red Raiders snagged a share of the Big 12 regular season title and the #1 seed in the conference tournament with a huge win over TCU. Tech will most likely see Oklahoma State on Saturday in the Big 12 semifinals which will be a tough task because the tournament is being held in Stillwater. If they beat Oklahoma State then they’d have to tackle TCU or Oklahoma and I’m sure both of these teams will be looking for some revenge. 

Florida (18-6) makes its first appearance in the top 10 after avenging regular season losses to Texas A&M and Georgia in route to winning the SEC Championship.

  • 9 Best Wins (584.9): #6 Georgia, #13 Texas A&M, #18 Arkansas, at #19 Texas, #20 Kentucky, #21 Florida State, at #25 Mississippi State, #29 Ole Miss, at #33 LSU
  • Other Quality Wins: #34 Vanderbilt (2X), at #40 Alabama, at #50 South Carolina
  • Losses (10.1): #1 Virginia, #5 Ohio State, #6 Georgia, #8 USC, #9 Texas Tech, #13 Texas A&M
  • Computer Score: 584.9/10.1 = 57.91 (was 51.88)
  • What’s Coming Up: NCAA Tournament
  • Comments: Florida should be slotted as the #9 seed at the NCAAs though if USC ends up ranked #10 they’d likely get the nod over Florida due to the H2H win. 

Oklahoma (14-9) stays at No. 10 after winning at Oklahoma State. 

  • 9 Best Wins (586.3): at #12 Oklahoma State, #15 Illinois, #16 Cal, at #17 South Florida, at #19 Texas, at #21 Florida State, at #23 Tulsa, #28 San Diego, at #40 Alabama
  • Other Quality Wins: #42 Memphis, #42 Baylor
  • Losses (10.6): #1 Virginia, #3 North Carolina, #4 TCU, #5 Ohio State, #7 Wake Forest (2X), #8 USC, #9 Texas Tech, #18 Arkansas
  • Computer Score: 586.3/10.6 = 55.31 (was 52.31)
  • What’s Coming Up: Big 12 Tournament (4/29-5/1) – Texas, TCU, Texas, Texas Tech/Oklahoma State winner
  • Comments: Oklahoma opens up the Big 12 Tournament against Texas and a win over the Horns would give OU a rematch against TCU. OU lost the regular season meeting 4-3 in a match where Spencer Papa served for the win but got broken and ended up losing in a third set tiebreak. If TCU isn’t completely focused I wouldn’t at all be surprised to see OU pull off the upset. 


4/26 Oracle/ITA Men’s Rankings


Rank Avg School Previous Rank
1 77.36 University of Virginia 1
2 71.87 UCLA 2
3 70.06 North Carolina 3
4 68.86 Ohio State University 5
5 68.72 TCU 4
6 66 Wake Forest University 7
7 62.56 University of Georgia 6
8 59.86 Texas Tech University 9
9 57.91 University of Florida 11
10 55.31 University of Oklahoma 10
11 52.42 University of Southern California 8
12 50.61 California 16
13 50.35 Northwestern University 14
14 48.51 Texas A&M University 13
15 48.48 Oklahoma State University 12
16 45.86 University of South Florida 17
17 42.48 University of Illinois 15
18 40.35 University of Texas 19
19 40.16 University of Arkansas 18
20 37.56 University of Kentucky 20
21 34.86 Florida State University 21
22 34.45 Mississippi State University 25
23 34.3 University of Tulsa 23
24 33.19 University of Michigan 22
25 32.61 Columbia University 24
26 31.89 Rice University 26
27 28.3 Stanford University 32
28 27.81 SMU 27
29 27.73 University of Mississippi 29
30 27.3 University of San Diego 28
31 26.94 Tulane University 31
32 25.89 Virginia Tech 36
33 25.59 Georgia Tech 30
34 24.71 Vanderbilt University 34
35 23.83 Penn State University 39
36 23.36 LSU 33
37 21.89 University of Notre Dame 41
38 21.73 University of Oregon 35
39 21.67 Dartmouth College 38
40 21.57 University of Washington 37
41 19.92 University of Memphis 42
42 19.84 Baylor University 43
43 19.62 University of Alabama 40
44 18.92 North Carolina State 44
45 18.19 University of South Carolina 50
46 16.35 UC Santa Barbara 47
47 15.88 Old Dominion University 45
48 15.84 University of Denver 52
49 14.39 Harvard University 49
50 13.86 Cornell University 51
51 13.7 Drake University 46
52 13.18 Princeton University 48
53 13.06 Purdue University 59
54 12.5 East Tennessee State University 55
55 12.08 Lamar University 54
56 11.67 Utah State University 56
57 11.66 University of Wisconsin 53
58 11.5 Indiana University-Bloomington 64
59 10.78 Boise State University 60
60 10.76 Brigham Young University 57
61 10.46 Pepperdine 61
62 10.42 Georgia State University 58
63 10.13 Auburn University 65
64 9.46 University of New Mexico 62
65 9.07 UNC Wilmington 67
66 8.92 St. John’s University 66
67 8.92 University of the Pacific (California) 70
68 8.66 Cal Poly 63
69 8.31 Loyola Marymount University 69
70 7.8 UC Davis 74
71 7.42 Duke University 68
72 7.26 University of Utah 71
73 7.01 University of Iowa 72
74 6.94 University of North Florida 75
75 6.69 Clemson University 73




Rank Avg Player School Previous Rank
1 62.1 Mikael Torpegaard Ohio State University 1
2 61.26 Roberto Cid University of South Florida 4
3 58.67 Dominik Koepfer Tulane University 2
4 56.27 Aleks Vukic University of Illinois 3
5 51 Mackenzie McDonald UCLA 10
6 48.64 Cameron Norrie TCU 5
7 45.88 Christopher Eubanks Georgia Tech 7
8 42.29 Ryan Shane University of Virginia 8
9 42.25 Thai-Son Kwiatkowski University of Virginia 6
10 40.99 Diego Hidalgo University of Florida 11
11 40.61 Benjamin Lock Florida State University 9
12 38.59 Tom Fawcett Stanford University 12
13 38.2 Skander Mansouri Wake Forest University 14
14 37.55 Joao Monteiro Virginia Tech 22
15 35.66 Austin Smith University of Georgia 17
16 35.21 Julian Lenz Baylor University 15
17 35.08 Jared Hiltzik University of Illinois 13
18 34.35 Felipe Soares Texas Tech University 20
19 33.83 Arthur Rinderknech Texas A&M University 18
20 32.38 Konrad Zieba Northwestern University 16
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