NCAA Tournament Women’s Facts & Figures Plus Opening Round Capsules

Tagged with: NCAA Tournament Facts/Figures, NCAA Tournament Previews, Women's Tennis

The NCAA Tournament is now just 1 day away with all 16 women’s sites starting on Friday and finishing on Saturday. All 16 sites will have live scoring and 12 will have streaming video – check my live scoring page for links. The Power 5 conferences accounted for 35 (55%) of the 64 bids with the SEC putting 11 teams in, the ACC with 10, the Big XII with 6, and the Pac-12 and Big Ten with 4 each. The only other conferences to put multiple teams in were the American at 3 and Conference USA at 2. 

UCLA and Stanford will be appearing in the NCAA Tournament for the 37th year in a row, which is every year since the team format was started in 1982, while it’ll be the 36th year in a row for Florida. There were three significant streaks that came to an end this year with Cal missing the tournament for the first time ever, USC missing for the first time in 26 years, and Notre Dame missing for the first time in 22 years. I have a list down below of all the schools that have made it at least 10 years in a row and while most of the schools are familiar names there are a few that you might not expect. 

Of the 64 teams competing in this year’s tournament, LIU Brooklyn and McNeese play the best doubles with both teams winning the doubles point 90.5% of the time while FIU is third at 89.5%. There are 11 schools that made the field with a doubles percentage of 50% or less with the worst being Georgia State at just 26.9% – of course the Panthers only have five healthy players so they’ve been forfeiting #3 doubles since the midpoint of the year. I have the full list down below. 

The team with the highest UTR Power 6 as of 5/8/18 is Stanford with the Cardinal edging out Pepperdine by .06 (70.21 to 70.15) which is an average of 11.7 per player. Georgia, Duke, and Vanderbilt rounded out the top five at 69.9, 69.6, and 69.3. These numbers will differ some from what you see on UTRs site because I used the actual lineups that the schools submitted whereas UTR has some players listed in the top 6 that won’t play due to injury (Georgia State’s Arina Taluyenko, Miami’s Sofia Sewing, Pepperdine’s Jessica Failla) or other/unknown reasons (Florida State’s Emmanuelle Salas, Oklahoma State’s Lisa-Marie Rioux). Also of note is Morgan State didn’t enter a lot of results in the ITA’s system so therefore the results also weren’t in UTRs. 

As I mentioned on my men’s breakdown, for those filling out a bracket over at Slam.Tennis I’d recommend that you plan on having at least one top 16 seed get upset during the first two rounds. Since the field was expanded to 64 teams in 1999, there has only been one year (2007) where all the top 16 seeds survived the opening weekend. A top 16 seed has never lost in the first round. 

I took the master lineups that each of the teams submitted and put them into a spreadsheet to see who had the highest dual-match winning percentage per position. You can view them at this link (also includes them sorted by UTR) and down below I have the top five at each position. 

I also have the women’s first/second round capsules, just like I did for the men, in this Google sheet. Below is the one for the Vanderbilt/Alabama State match. 

 

Weekend Schedule (Times ET):

**Streaks that ended in 2018 – Cal (36), USC (26), Notre Dame (22) 

 

Doubles Dual-Match Records

Seed	Team	W	L	PCT
	LIU Brooklyn	19	2	90.5%
	McNeese	19	2	90.5%
	FIU	17	2	89.5%
14	Northwestern	23	3	88.5%
15	Stanford	18	3	85.7%
	Winthrop	20	4	83.3%
	UCF	19	4	82.6%
	Princeton	18	4	81.8%
7	Georgia	17	4	81.0%
	Tulsa	21	5	80.8%
12	UCLA	20	5	80.0%
2	North Carolina	23	6	79.3%
13	Pepperdine	19	5	79.2%
	Denver	18	5	78.3%
	St. John’s	17	5	77.3%
4	Georgia Tech	20	6	76.9%
3	Duke	20	6	76.9%
11	Texas Tech	20	6	76.9%
	Illinois	20	6	76.9%
10	South Carolina	18	6	75.0%
	Army	20	7	74.1%
	Florida State	19	7	73.1%
	Ohio State	16	6	72.7%
1	Vanderbilt	18	7	72.0%
	Idaho	15	6	71.4%
	North Florida	17	7	70.8%
	Syracuse	17	7	70.8%
	NC State	21	9	70.0%
16	Miami FL	16	7	69.6%
	Arizona State	16	7	69.6%
	Wake Forest	22	10	68.8%
	Hawaii	11	5	68.8%
	Buffalo	13	6	68.4%
	Furman	19	9	67.9%
	Kansas	14	7	66.7%
	Eastern Kentucky	16	8	66.7%
	Tennessee	19	10	65.5%
	Wichita State	16	9	64.0%
6	Texas	16	9	64.0%
	VCU	14	8	63.6%
9	Florida	15	9	62.5%
	Oregon	15	9	62.5%
	Mississippi State	15	9	62.5%
	Youngstown State	16	10	61.5%
5	Ole Miss	16	10	61.5%
8	Oklahoma State	14	9	60.9%
	Rice	14	9	60.9%
	Texas A&M	13	9	59.1%
	Quinnipiac	13	9	59.1%
	Michigan	15	11	57.7%
	Alabama State	9	7	56.3%
	Auburn	16	14	53.3%
	Missouri State	11	10	52.4%
	Clemson	13	13	50.0%
	UMKC	12	12	50.0%
	Fresno State	12	12	50.0%
	Morgan State	12	12	50.0%
	Virginia	11	12	47.8%
	William & Mary	12	14	46.2%
	Baylor	13	17	43.3%
	Kentucky	10	14	41.7%
	Kansas State	10	14	41.7%
	LSU	9	15	37.5%
	Georgia State	7	19	26.9%

 

UTR Power 6 (as of 5/8/18)

Rank	Team	P6	Avg
1	Stanford	70.2	11.7
2	Pepperdine	70.2	11.7
3	Georgia	69.9	11.6
4	Duke	69.6	11.6
5	Vanderbilt	69.3	11.6
6	North Carolina	69.0	11.5
7	Texas	68.8	11.5
8	UCLA	68.7	11.4
9	Georgia Tech	68.5	11.4
10	South Carolina	68.5	11.4
11	Florida	68.1	11.3
12	Texas Tech	67.7	11.3
13	Ole Miss	67.2	11.2
14	Kansas	67.1	11.2
15	Baylor	67.1	11.2
16	Michigan	67.0	11.2
17	Miami FL	66.8	11.1
18	Oklahoma State	66.7	11.1
19	Virginia	66.6	11.1
20	Oregon	66.6	11.1
21	Auburn	66.5	11.1
22	Florida State	66.4	11.1
23	Northwestern	66.2	11.0
24	Arizona State	66.1	11.0
25	Wake Forest	65.9	11.0
26	Syracuse	65.8	11.0
27	UCF	65.7	10.9
28	Rice	65.7	10.9
29	Tulsa	65.5	10.9
30	Florida International	65.5	10.9
31	Kansas State	65.1	10.9
32	NC State	65.1	10.9
33	Illinois	65.1	10.8
34	Kentucky	64.9	10.8
35	Denver	64.7	10.8
36	Princeton	64.5	10.8
37	Ohio State	64.5	10.8
38	Wichita State	64.4	10.7
39	Mississippi State	64.4	10.7
40	Texas A&M	64.0	10.7
41	Tennessee	64.0	10.7
42	Clemson	63.7	10.6
43	William & Mary	63.6	10.6
44	Fresno State	61.8	10.3
45	Hawaii	61.5	10.2
46	Winthrop	61.3	10.2
47	Furman	60.6	10.1
48	North Florida	60.1	10.0
49	VCU	60.0	10.0
50	Idaho	59.7	9.9
51	Buffalo	59.7	9.9
52	LSU	59.2	9.9
53	McNeese	59.2	9.9
54	St. John’s	58.7	9.8
55	Eastern Kentucky	57.3	9.6
56	LIU Brooklyn	56.4	9.4
57	UMKC	55.7	9.3
58	Younstown State	55.3	9.2
59	Army	55.0	9.2
60	Quinnipiac	53.2	8.9
61	Alabama State	52.0	8.7
62	Georgia State	51.5	10.3
63	Missouri State	51.5	8.6
64	Morgan State	49.3	8.2

 

Number of Top 16 seeds to lose before the Round of 16:

2017 (1) – Texas A&M def. #16 Baylor 4-3
2016 (2) – Texas def. #9 Duke 4-2; Georgia Tech def. #13 South Carolina 4-0
2015 (1) – Clemson def. #13 Alabama 4-2
2014 (1) – Notre Dame def. #15 Northwestern 4-3
2013 (1) – Duke def. #16 Texas Tech 4-3
2012 (2) – Rice def. #16 Ole Miss 4-2; Georgia Tech def. #8 Alabama 4-3
2011 (2) – Vanderbilt def. #13 Tennessee 4-3; SMU def. #12 Florida State 4-3*
2010 (1) – Ole Miss def. #14 Georgia Tech 4-0
2009 (2) – Washington def. #7 USC 4-3; South Carolina def. #10 Tennessee 4-3
2008 (2) – Arkansas def. #15 North Carolina 4-3; Texas def. #14 Florida State 5-2
2007 (0) – NONE
2006 (3) – UCLA def. #13 Pepperdine 4-0; Kentucky def. #15 Clemson 4-0; Fresno State def. #10 California 4-3
2005 (2) – California def. #9 Miami FL 4-3; Harvard def. #16 Tennessee**
2004 (4) – Miami FL def. #1 Florida 4-3; Tennessee def. #14 North Carolina 4-3; Fresno State def. #11 California 4-3; Arizona State def. #13 Texas 4-0***
2003 (2) – Kansas State def. #12 VCU 4-2; Harvard def. #16 Arizona 4-3****
2002 (1) – VCU def. #12 South Carolina 4-1
2001 (2) – Wake Forest def. #16 Oklahoma State 4-3; UCLA def. #11 Fresno State 4-3
2000 (2) – LSU def. #6 Pepperdine 5-4; Tennessee def. #13 William & Mary 5-3
1999 (4) – Miami FL def. #7 Texas; Iowa def. #12 Notre Dame; Fresno State def. #13 William & Mary; South Alabama def. #8 UCLA

* 2011 – Texas A&M hosted even though Florida State was seeded – SMU beat both
** 2005 – Harvard hosted even though Tennessee was seeded
*** 2004 – Arizona State was #3 seed in the regional and def. LSU in the first round
**** 2003 – Harvard hosted even though Arizona was seeded; Kansas State was #3 seed and def. Northwestern in the first round.

No. 3 seeds to advance to Round of 16: SMU (2011); Arizona State (2004), Kansas State (2003)

No. 4 seeds to advance to Round of 16: None

 

Top Singles Dual-Match Winning Percentage by Slot (min 10 matches – all matches not necessarily played at that spot)

Pos.	ITA	Player	School	UTR	W	L	%
1	3	Estela Perez-Somarriba	Miami FL	12.08	21	1	0.95
1	53	Eden Richardson	LSU	11.71	18	1	0.95
1	118	Jessica Livianu	St. John’s	11.63	16	1	0.94
1	1	Bianca Turati	Texas	12.28	16	1	0.94
1	2	Makenna Jones	North Carolina	11.83	23	2	0.92
2	55	Meible Chi	Duke	11.73	22	1	0.96
2	39	Megan McCray	Oklahoma State	11.78	17	1	0.94
2	30	Anna Turati	Texas	11.92	15	1	0.94
2		Bianca Mok	Denver	11.52	17	2	0.89
2	60	Kenya Jones	Georgia Tech	11.57	20	3	0.87
3	22	Mayar Sherif	Pepperdine	11.91	17	1	0.94
3		Rebeka Stolmar	UCF	11.38	19	2	0.90
3		Hada Chang	Denver	10.37	15	2	0.88
3	46	Sara Daavettila	North Carolina	11.69	22	3	0.88
3		Lolade Ogungbesan	Buffalo	9.87	17	3	0.85
4	28	Kelly Chen	Duke	11.80	21	1	0.95
4	54	Evgeniya Levashova	Pepperdine	11.84	19	1	0.95
4		Mariana Gould	Georgia	11.63	14	1	0.93
4	95	Alexa Graham	North Carolina	11.82	24	2	0.92
4	43	Emily Arbuthnott	Stanford	11.73	14	2	0.88
5	84	Ellyse Hamlin	Duke	11.61	19	2	0.90
5	91	Laura Gulbe	Pepperdine	11.57	16	2	0.89
5		Sanjana Sudhir	Buffalo	9.47	15	2	0.88
5		Irina Preotescu	St. John’s	9.31	13	2	0.87
5		Sasha Belaya	Illinois	10.23	15	3	0.83
6		Rachel Rohrabacher	South Carolina	11.15	11	1	0.92
6		Shura Poppe	Tulsa	10.39	9	1	0.90
6		Arianna Paules Aldrey	Buffalo	9.65	14	2	0.88
6	121	Alaina Miller	UCLA	11.27	14	2	0.88
6		Phonexay Chitdara	McNeese	9.82	17	3	0.85

 

Top Individual UTRs (as of 5/8) – first W/L column is dual-match & second is overall

Pos.	ITA	Player	Team	UTR	DM W	L	%	Ov W	L
1	18	Anna Danilina	Florida	12.44	12	6	0.67	26	10
1	1	Bianca Turati	Texas	12.28	16	1	0.94	28	2
1	11	Astra Sharma	Vanderbilt	12.21	11	2	0.85	11	2
1	3	Estela Perez-Somarriba	Miami FL	12.08	21	1	0.95	35	6
1	15	Michaela Gordon	Stanford	12.05	12	7	0.63	21	8
1	7	Arianne Hartono	Ole Miss	12.03	20	2	0.91	29	6
1	8	Anastasia Rychagova	Kansas	12.00	8	1	0.89	18	3
2	10	Fernanda Contreras	Vanderbilt	11.98	18	4	0.82	36	8
2	17	Ashley Lahey	Pepperdine	11.94	10	2	0.83	20	4
2	30	Anna Turati	Texas	11.92	15	1	0.94	24	2