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NCAA Announces Sites for Future Championships, ITA Releases 4/18 Rankings, Analysis of NCAA Cut-Off (Premium)

by | Apr 18, 2017 | Blog | 1 comment

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On Tuesday afternoon the NCAA announced the host sites for the 2019-2022 NCAA Championships with the National Tennis Center in Lake Nona the big winner. The new “Home of American Tennis” was awarded the 2019 and 2021 NCAA Division I Championships plus the 2022 NCAA Division III Championships. The full release from the USTA is available here. Oklahoma State University was awarded the 2020 NCAA D1 Championships, which will be the first time Stillwater has hosted, while the University of Illinois was chosen as host of the 2022 NCAA D1 Championships. Illinois previously hosted four years ago in 2013 when Virginia won its first national championship on the infamous net touch by Puget on championship point for UCLA. Below in the table are the sites for the next five years with 2018 sites announced several years ago. 

  Division I Division II Division III
2018 Winston-Salem, NC Surprise, AZ Claremont, CA
2019 Orlando, FL Altamonte Springs, FL Kalamazoo, MI
2020 Stillwater, OK St. Louis, MO St. Louis, MO
2021 Orlando, FL Surprise, AZ Claremont, CA
2022 Champaign, IL Altamonte Springs, FL Orlando, FL

 

The ITA released its latest team, singles, and doubles rankings today with the Wake Forest men and Florida women remaining in the top spots. In the men’s team rankings the only change in the top 10 was Texas moving up from 8 to 7 while UCLA fell from 7 to 8. Arkansas made the biggest jump in the top 50 by coming up 16 spots to No. 34 after defeating Kentucky and Vanderbilt while Tennessee had the second biggest jump by climbing 13 spots to No. 46 after picking up wins over Alabama, Charlotte, and LSU.  

Over half of the women’s top 10 changed with Vanderbilt making the leap up to No. 2 after defeating Florida and South Carolina while Georgia fell from No. 2 to No. 4 after losing to Texas A&M. TCU and USC each came up seven spots to No. 24 and No. 32 respectively. TCU’s jump was due to an upset win over Texas Tech while USC’s jump was courtesy of a pair of road win over Arizona State and Arizona. 

These team rankings were comprised of each team’s nine best wins and all losses and it’ll stay at nine up through the selection of the NCAA field. If you want to get an early look at what next week’s rankings look like you can view my real-time rankings which are available to all College Tennis Today subscribers. 

In the men’s singles rankings Ohio State’s Mikael Torpegaard remains at No. 1 while TCU’s Cameron Norrie checks in at No. 2 with Wake Forest’s Petros Chrysochos dropping one spot to No. 3. Wake Forest’s Christian Seraphim and Skander Mansouri remain at the top of the men’s doubles rankings with Cal’s Filip Bergevi and Florian Lakat sitting at No. 2. To see the full list of the men’s singles and doubles rankings click here. 

In the women’s singles rankings the top five remains the same with Ohio State’s Francesca Di Lorenzo still at No. 1. North Carolina’s Hayley Carter and Jessie Aney remain at No. 1 in the women’s doubles rankings with Kentucky’s Aldila Sutjiadi and Miami Adachi holding firm at No. 2. To see the full list of the women’s singles and doubles rankings click here.

 
To view chart on mobile turn phone sideways
 
 
MEN’S TOP 50 – 4/18/17   WOMEN’S TOP 50 – 4/18/17
Rank Pts School Prv Rank Chg   Rank Pts School Prv Rank Chg
1 81.99 Wake Forest University 1 0   1 83.71 University of Florida 1 0
2 69.53 Ohio State University 2 0   2 70.80 Vanderbilt University 5 3
3 68.58 University of Virginia 3 0   3 69.46 North Carolina 3 0
4 67.81 Baylor University 4 0   4 68.96 University of Georgia 2 -2
5 63.46 Oklahoma State University 5 0   5 68.04 Ohio State University 4 -1
6 62.43 USC 6 0   6 61.81 Georgia Tech 6 0
7 58.89 University of Texas 8 1   7 56.92 Texas Tech University 7 0
8 57.17 UCLA 7 -1   8 54.66 Stanford 10 2
9 56.76 TCU 9 0   9 52.97 Oklahoma State University 8 -1
10 55.95 Texas A&M University 10 0   10 52.32 University of Michigan 9 -1
11 55.48 California 12 1   11 49.20 University of South Carolina 12 1
12 51.25 North Carolina 13 1   12 47.69 Auburn University 11 -1
13 50.28 University of Georgia 11 -2   13 47.19 Pepperdine 17 4
14 46.03 University of Florida 16 2   14 45.60 University of Arkansas 18 4
15 43.22 Stanford University 15 0   15 45.60 Duke University 14 -1
16 43.13 University of Michigan 14 -2   16 45.44 California 16 0
17 38.58 University of Oklahoma 19 2   17 44.95 Texas A&M University 21 4
18 37.69 Mississippi State University 17 -1   18 44.46 Baylor University 15 -3
19 37.45 University of South Carolina 22 3   19 43.36 University of Kentucky 13 -6
20 36.86 Georgia Tech 18 -2   20 41.38 Mississippi State University 20 0
21 36.04 Northwestern University 21 0   21 34.82 LSU 19 -2
22 34.93 University of Oregon 23 1   22 34.19 UCLA 22 0
23 34.71 Columbia University 20 -3   23 32.56 University of Tennessee 23 0
24 32.29 University of South Florida 26 2   24 30.47 TCU 31 7
25 31.68 University of Illinois 28 3   25 27.98 University of Texas at Austin 24 -1
26 30.12 Cornell University 25 -1   26 27.02 Arizona State University 29 3
27 29.59 Tulane University 27 0   27 25.23 University of Kansas 30 3
28 27.79 University of Kentucky 24 -4   28 25.18 North Carolina State 25 -3
29 27.43 University of Mississippi 32 3   29 24.65 University of Mississippi 27 -2
30 24.24 University of Wisconsin 29 -1   30 23.39 Wake Forest University 26 -4
31 22.33 University of Central Florida 30 -1   31 23.36 University of Washington 32 1
32 21.77 Florida State University 33 1   32 23.21 USC 39 7
33 20.12 University of Minnesota 31 -2   33 22.87 University of Notre Dame 28 -5
34 20.01 University of Arkansas 50 16   34 21.25 University of Tulsa 38 4
35 19.56 SMU 36 1   35 20.13 University of Alabama 33 -2
36 19.20 University of Memphis 34 -2   36 18.90 Northwestern University 36 0
37 18.51 Georgia State University 35 -2   37 18.57 Rice University 35 -2
38 17.49 Duke University 46 8   38 18.22 University of Oklahoma 34 -4
39 16.56 University of Louisville 39 0   39 17.98 University of Miami (Florida) 45 6
40 16.44 Rice University 38 -2   40 17.83 University of Oregon 42 2
41 16.19 University of Washington 37 -4   41 17.33 Florida International (FIU) 37 -4
42 16.15 UC Santa Barbara 48 6   42 17.07 Florida State University 47 5
43 14.71 Utah State University 42 -1   43 16.75 University of Virginia 40 -3
44 14.49 Cal Poly 45 1   44 16.33 Dartmouth College 48 4
45 14.48 Texas Tech University 44 -1   45 16.29 University of Denver 41 -4
46 14.45 University of Tennessee NR (59) 13   46 14.26 Univ. of Missouri NR (51) 5
47 13.99 University of South Alabama 47 0   47 14.05 Clemson University 46 -1
48 13.97 Vanderbilt University 40 -8   48 13.34 UC Santa Barbara NR (57) 9
49 13.60 Indiana University NR (54) 5   49 12.85 Harvard University 49 0
50 13.54 University of Portland 43 -7   50 12.58 College of William and Mary 50 0
Dropped out: Notre Dame (41), Old Dominion (49)
  
Dropped out: Wichita State (43), Maryland (44)
 
 

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NCAA at-large cut-off as of 4/18 rankings
Men – 44
Women – 49 
 
Highest Ranked Men’s Team Per Conference:
ACC: Wake Forest (1)
Big Ten: Ohio State (2)
Big 12: Baylor (4)
Pac-12: USC (6)
SEC: Texas A&M (10)
Ivy League: Columbia (23)
American: South Florida (24)
Sun Belt: Georgia State (37)
Conference USA: Rice (40)
Big West: UC Santa Barbara (42)
Mountain West: Utah State (43)
West Coast: Portland (50)
 
Top 50 Teams With Losing Records:
#45 Texas Tech 10-14 (Baylor, Big 12 Tourney)
#46 Tennessee 12-13 (SEC Tourney)
#48 Vanderbilt 11-14 (SEC Tourney)
 
Last Team In: Cal Poly 
First Team Out: South Alabama 
Second Team Out: Indiana 
Third Team Out: Portland
 
Notes: I’m surprised that the sub .500 teams aren’t scheduling a match or two this week to get above .500 before the conference tournament – seems like they are letting it all ride on the conference tournament. Tennessee would make the NCAAs with a win over Kentucky at the SEC Tournament but if they don’t get above .500 prior they’ll miss out due to their record. 
 
 
Men’s Top 16 Seeds (Regional Hosts):
 
Locks: Wake Forest, Ohio State, Virginia, Baylor, USC, Oklahoma State, Texas, UCLA, TCU, Texas A&M, California, Georgia, North Carolina, Florida
In at the moment: Michigan, Stanford
Need Ranked Wins: Oklahoma, Mississippi State, South Carolina, Georgia Tech
 
Remaining Schedules:
Stanford (Cal, Pac-12 Tourney)
Michigan (Iowa, Nebraska, Big Ten Tourney)
Oklahoma (Oklahoma State, Big 12 Tourney)
Mississippi State (SEC Tourney)
Georgia Tech (North Carolina, North Carolina State, ACC Tourney)
 
Notes: Georgia Tech really hurt its chances to host after losing to Virginia Tech but if it can sweep UNC and NCST this weekend they’ll be back in the hunt. All the teams above still have a chance because they’ll each probably face a couple of top 25 teams in their conference tournaments. 
 
 
Women’s NCAA Picture 
 
Highest Ranked Women’s Team Per Conference:
SEC: Florida (1)
ACC: North Carolina (3)
Big Ten: Ohio State (5)
Big 12: Texas Tech (7)
Pac-12: Stanford (8)
West Coast: Pepperdine (13)
American: Tulsa (34)
Conference USA: Rice (37)
Ivy League: Dartmouth (44)
Summit: Denver (45)
Big West: UC Santa Barbara (48)
Colonial: William & Mary (50)
 
Top 50 Teams With Losing Records:
#35 Alabama 8-15 (SEC Tourney)
#39 Miami FL 8-10 (at Virginia Tech, at Virginia, ACC Tourney)
#43 Virginia 9-11 (Florida State, Miami, ACC Tourney)
#46 Missouri 11-13 (SEC Tourney)
#47 Clemson 9-11 (Boston College, Notre Dame, ACC Tourney)
 
Top 50 Teams Just Above .500:
#32 USC 10-8 (Pepperdine, at UCLA, Pac-12 Tourney)

Last Team In: Harvard
First Team Out: William & Mary
Second Team Out: Wichita State
Third Team Out: Virginia Tech
 
Notes: It’s entirely possible that the cutoff could stay in the high 40s due to the high number of teams with sub .500 records. I’d say only Miami and Clemson have a shot at getting above .500 without scheduling Cupcake U because there isn’t enough time left to Alabama and Missouri to schedule anyone else with the SEC Tournament starting tomorrow and after Virginia lost to Louisville last week I don’t see them beating Miami this week. 
 
Women’s Top 16 Seeds (Regional Hosts):
 
Locks: Florida, Vanderbilt, North Carolina, Georgia, Ohio State, Georgia Tech, Texas Tech, Stanford, Oklahoma State, Michigan, South Carolina, Auburn, Pepperdine
In at the moment: California, Duke, Baylor
Need Ranked Wins: Arkansas, Kentucky, Texas A&M, Mississippi State
 
Remaining Schedules:
California (Stanford, Pac-12 Tourney)
Duke (at North Carolina, Louisville, Georgia Tech)
Baylor (TCU, Kansas State, Kansas, Big 12 Tourney)
Arkansas (SEC Tourney – if beats Auburn would play Georgia in quarters)
Kentucky (SEC Tourney – if beats Ole Miss/Missouri winner would play South Carolina in quarters)
Texas A&M (SEC Tourney – if beats LSU would play Vanderbilt in quarters)
Mississippi State (SEC Tourney – if beats Tennessee/Alabama winner would play Florida in quarters)
 
Notes: California is going to get a nice jump in next week’s rankings that should all but lock them in as a host and a win over Stanford on Saturday would be the icing on the cake. Of the SEC teams in the running I think Texas A&M and Mississippi State are the longest shots because even if they win their first match in the SEC Tournament they’ll have a near impossible match in the quarters. If Arkansas beats Auburn that might be enough to push them over the top regardless of whether they beat Georgia or not in the quarterfinals. If Duke can beat either UNC or Georgia Tech this week that’ll probably lock them in as a host though if they lose both they’ll have to perform in the conference tournament to keep their chances alive. If Baylor runs the table this week against TCU, K-State, and Kansas they are probably good to go too. 

 

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1 Comment

  1. 181
    181 on Thu March 19, 2020 at 5:48 pm