Ohio State stays at No. 4 after picking up a road win at Michigan State and a nice home win over Michigan. UCLA moves back up to No. 5 after picking up road wins at Oregon and Washington in conjunction with last week’s No. 5 Oklahoma State losing to SMU which dropped the Cowboys down to No. 8. Wake Forest jumps up from No. 13 to No. 6 after its road win at Florida State plus a few of its other top wins moved up a few spots last week. Georgia rises from No. 11 to No. 7 after a win over Kentucky while USC falls one spots from No. 8 to No. 9 after a win at Oregon and a loss at Washington. Texas A&M falls from No. 7 to No. 10 after its Friday loss at Vanderbilt.
Florida continues its climb up the charts and will come in at No. 11 after winning at Mississippi State and at Alabama. Arkansas makes a nice jump up to No. 14 after winning at Texas and beating Ole Miss with both of those happening for the first time since 1988.
Rice will rise roughly 14 spots from No. 40 to No. 26 after its weekend sweep of Texas Tech, Drake, and William & Mary. SMU should come up 9 spots to No. 27 after its 4-0 shellacking of Oklahoma State. Washington should rise roughly 10 spots up to No. 29 after a top 10 win over USC.
Oregon, Ole Miss, and Baylor are entering the danger zone after dropping to No. 37, No. 38, and No. 39. Oregon went 0-3 last week losing heartbreakers to Drake and USC in addition to falling to UCLA. Ole Miss and Baylor have each lost four straight and the schedule ahead isn’t very friendly.
Everyone in my projected top 20 has at least seven ranked though not many past there do. Schools that have an * beside the school name have less than seven ranked wins so I had to do some guesswork on where the unranked wins fall in the rankings.
As the number of countable wins rises, one result either good or bad, won’t have the same impact that it would have had earlier in the season when only five results were counted. I mention this so you’ll understand why SMU, Rice, and others didn’t move up as much as you might have thought after their big top 10 wins.
FYI, tonight’s TCU/Texas A&M match won’t be factored into these rankings because all results have to be entered in by 5pm ET and this match won’t start until 6pm CT. The Mississippi State/Auburn match, which was pushed back from yesterday, will count this week so I kind of assumed the result in that match.
The undefeated Cal Bears remain at No. 1 on the women’s side while Ohio State stays at No. 2. North Carolina and Georgia flip flop places for I believe the sixth week in a row with UNC at No. 3 and UGA at No. 4. North Carolina has almost a five point lead on Georgia due to its wins being a good bit better plus Georgia lost to Vanderbilt over the week. Speaking of Vanderbilt they remain at No. 5 but are nipping on Georgia’s heels after beating the Bulldogs on Saturday.
Florida moves up one spot to No. 6 after winning at South Carolina with Miami dropping one spot to No. 7 despite a win over No. 12 Virginia. Pepperdine moves up three spots to No. 8 after its first-ever win over Stanford while South Carolina slides down one spot to No. 9 after its loss to Florida. Duke holds firm at No. 10 after a road win over Wake Forest.
Georgia Tech makes a nice move up to No. 16 after wins over Clemson and Pitt plus UCLA makes a nice jump up from No. 32 to No. 20 after picking up wins over Fresno State and Oregon.
I also listed what the top 10 would look like if they just went strictly off each team’s seven best wins with losses removed from the equation.
Rank | School | Points | Previous |
1 | North Carolina | 77.30 | 1 |
2 | TCU | 72.19 | 3 |
3 | Virginia | 70.21 | 2 |
4 | Ohio State | 68.30 | 4 |
5 | UCLA | 66.61 | 6 |
6 | Wake Forest | 55.43 | 13 |
7 | Georgia | 53.82 | 11 |
8 | Oklahoma State | 52.95 | 5 |
9 | USC | 52.30 | 8 |
10 | Texas A&M | 51.99 | 7 |
11 | Florida | 50.99 | 16 |
12 | Texas Tech | 50.22 | 9 |
13 | Northwestern | 48.93 | 12 |
14 | Arkansas | 47.40 | 21 |
15 | Illinois | 46.35 | 10 |
16 | California | 44.50 | 15 |
17 | South Florida | 43.67 | 17 |
18 | Oklahoma | 43.21 | 14 |
19 | Kentucky | 40.08 | 18 |
20 | Michigan | 37.47 | 23 |
21 | Texas | 36.71 | 19 |
22 | Florida State* | 35.41 | 20 |
23 | Tulane | 31.99 | 22 |
24 | Tulsa* | 29.92 | 27 |
25 | Mississippi State | 29.44 | 24 |
26 | Rice* | 28.19 | 40 |
27 | SMU* | 28.10 | 36 |
28 | Columbia* | 26.26 | 29 |
29 | Washington* | 25.24 | 39 |
30 | Wisconsin* | 23.94 | 37 |
31 | Georgia Tech | 23.63 | 32 |
32 | San Diego | 23.40 | 31 |
33 | Penn State* | 23.34 | 25 |
34 | Princeton* | 22.18 | 35 |
35 | Memphis* | 21.51 | 33 |
36 | Stanford* | 21.41 | 43 |
37 | Oregon* | 21.00 | 26 |
38 | Ole Miss* | 20.98 | 28 |
39 | Baylor* | 20.85 | 30 |
40 | Dartmouth* | 20.70 | 42 |
41 | NC State* | 20.65 | 34 |
42 | Alabama* | 19.99 | 41 |
43 | Vanderbilt* | 18.37 | 49 |
44 | LSU* | 17.75 | 48 |
45 | Virginia Tech* | 17.07 | 45 |
* indicates at least one win over an opponent ranked outside the top 75
Rank | School | 7 Best Wins |
1 | North Carolina | 572.00 |
2 | TCU | 534.20 |
3 | Virginia | 512.50 |
4 | Ohio State | 505.40 |
5 | UCLA | 479.60 |
6 | Wake Forest | 460.10 |
7 | Texas A&M | 452.30 |
8 | USC | 434.10 |
9 | Oklahoma State | 413.00 |
10 | Georgia | 409.00 |
3/29/16 Women’s Ranking Projections
Rank | School | Points | Previous |
1 | Cal | 79.51 | 1 |
2 | Ohio State | 71.79 | 2 |
3 | North Carolina | 71.41 | 4 |
4 | Georgia | 66.72 | 3 |
5 | Vanderbilt | 65.92 | 5 |
6 | Florida | 62.23 | 7 |
7 | Miami | 59.31 | 6 |
8 | Pepperdine | 55.21 | 11 |
9 | South Carolina | 55.14 | 8 |
10 | Duke | 54.68 | 10 |
11 | Michigan | 48.83 | 9 |
12 | Virginia | 45.07 | 12 |
13 | Texas Tech | 43.77 | 13 |
14 | Auburn | 43.37 | 16 |
15 | LSU | 40.25 | 15 |
16 | Georgia Tech | 37.61 | 22 |
17 | Oklahoma State | 36.19 | 18 |
18 | Stanford | 35.32 | 20 |
19 |
The ITA ranking system seems pretty archaic. Time for a change. Should use UTR or maybe a poll of coaches.<br />I know Stanford Cardinals are struggling a bit at 10-6 but they're #36 and Illinois at 8-7 is #15? Seems wrong.<br /><br />Which gets me thinking about what ITA does? Why do they exist? In my opinion they have let cheering get way out of hand and made ridiculous scoring rule changes that make WAY TOO MANY matches coin flips.<br />I think college baseball games are too long. Let's make a strikeout after 1 strike and a walk after two balls and rather than extra innings let's have a 3 man home run derby shoot out. Yeah! Probably get way more tv viewers!!
If they host a regional they will be able to book a trip to Tulsa prior playing a match.
It would also help Kentucky if they could take their hometown officials on the road with them.
The at-large cutoff for the NCAAs is usually right around 42 – those teams that I mentioned will need to win a few matches to stay in the 30s otherwise they'll drop into the 40s and be sweating bullets when the NCAA draw is announced. <br /><br />Of the teams in projected top 16 – I'd say everybody from #8 to #16 better keep on winning. I think both Oklahoma and Kentucky have a decent shot to climb into the top 16 if they can get everyone healthy and Tulane is probably a long shot but I think they have a shot.
Both guys have met my expectations – I thought Petros would be solid up top and Uspensky solid down low and they've both delivered. Both have looked better since going outdoors. Petros has a UTR of 14.02 and Dennis is 13.57 though the UTRs usually change on Wednesday's when all the previous week's results are uploaded. <br /><br />Tough schedule down the stretch with all the big ones against VT, UNC, and UVA coming on the road. I think Wake might upset UNC especially if Schnur isn't 100% and its played outdoors. If played indoors UNC probably gets them.<br /><br />I think this is Wake best chance to win the ACC because they showed during the Indoors that they can go toe-to-toe with UVA. <br /><br />Anything other than the quarters at the NCAAs would be disappointing and I think they've got the team to go further. <br /><br /><br /><br />
Why is the ranking of 35-40 the danger zone? Are they in trouble of not making the Ncaa's because of so many automatic bids? Or is it more that they will be a 3 or a 4 seed in regional and be sent to an unfavorable regional? <br />Also do you care to make a prediction on who will be left out of hosting a regional?
What are your thoughts on the freshmen Chrysochos and Uspensky? Have they produced the results you expected from them, and what are your thoughts on them heading to ACC's and NCAA's? Also, what are their exact UTRs as of recent events?
The 6 losses are keeping them down plus Rice is Stanford's best win and they were only ranked No. 40 last week. Stanford needs more quality wins to move up.
Card seems pretty low. Did beat Rice.<br />